Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 7.380383 8.333536 9.326080 10.433673 11.632009 12.886350 14.295489
2024-10-27 5.573514 6.868780 8.298508 9.980862 11.893303 13.987106 16.439939
2024-11-03 4.793744 6.297345 8.027548 10.139093 12.619566 15.414944 18.776632
2024-11-10 4.223199 5.867485 7.828684 10.296400 13.274079 16.708172 20.923616
2024-11-17 3.638100 5.340902 7.443657 10.166860 13.535141 17.501731 22.460611
2024-11-24 3.228803 4.985750 7.224493 10.198462 13.956429 18.461212 24.179782
2024-12-01 2.856077 4.636344 6.975243 10.158516 14.262340 19.262952 25.700070
2024-12-08 2.548199 4.341987 6.768522 10.146839 14.583079 20.069645 27.221155
2024-12-15 2.479038 4.375360 6.994892 10.700654 15.629542 21.787912 29.883678
2024-12-22 2.236889 4.132342 6.821945 10.704302 15.950996 22.589394 31.407420
2024-12-29 2.176094 4.154320 7.015545 11.204365 16.927981 24.232488 34.004205
2025-01-05 2.060182 4.079498 7.062289 11.496594 17.627894 25.524946 36.168834
2025-01-12 1.802405 3.760566 6.740225 11.265148 17.624139 25.917161 37.208033
2025-01-19 1.509685 3.353432 6.258905 10.780779 17.253628 25.813899 37.599877
2025-01-26 1.402571 3.250921 6.232614 10.948424 17.779797 26.895359 39.535420
2025-02-02 1.305030 3.155205 6.209034 11.114524 18.301927 27.974081 41.475935
2025-02-09 1.154821 2.946933 5.991682 10.977716 18.385658 28.457647 42.631619
2025-02-16 1.052158 2.816815 5.891678 11.011095 18.707757 29.263265 44.218279
2025-02-23 0.945835 2.667176 5.748598 10.968902 18.914238 29.908310 45.592614
2025-03-02 0.854639 2.537240 5.629622 10.956569 19.159190 30.604778 47.038961
2025-03-09 0.864070 2.620346 5.883024 11.541305 20.294895 32.550144 50.192034
2025-03-16 0.785168 2.503806 5.777900 11.545155 20.563502 33.286140 51.707987
2025-03-23 0.786734 2.565998 5.993623 12.072739 21.623229 35.141204 54.763997